By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?

Started Feb 24, 2022 07:00PM
Closed Jan 1, 2023 04:59AM (2 years ago)

Semiconductors are vital components of electronic devices, and advances in artificial intelligence, natural language processing, and other advanced technologies depends on advances in the physical infrastructure that semiconductors provide. The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) dominates semiconductor manufacturing (CNBC). The concentration of fabs, or fabrication facilities, also known as foundries, on Taiwan has led to concern about supply chain vulnerabilities that could disrupt multiple industries. (National Defense, Discourse Magazine). TSMC has announced plans to build fabs in the United States and Japan and is considering whether to build one in Europe (Bloomberg, CNBC, Nikkei Asia, Reuters).  
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.48%
No 99.52%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 96
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 627
Average for questions older than 6 months: 228
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.242141
3.
-0.223613
4.
-0.202419

Consensus Trend

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jun 20, 2022 6:03AM EDT (194 days before close, question was 37% complete)
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