By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?
Started
Feb 24, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Seasons
Semiconductors are vital components of electronic devices, and advances in artificial intelligence, natural language processing, and other advanced technologies depends on advances in the physical infrastructure that semiconductors provide. The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) dominates semiconductor manufacturing (CNBC). The concentration of fabs, or fabrication facilities, also known as foundries, on Taiwan has led to concern about supply chain vulnerabilities that could disrupt multiple industries. (National Defense, Discourse Magazine). TSMC has announced plans to build fabs in the United States and Japan and is considering whether to build one in Europe (Bloomberg, CNBC, Nikkei Asia, Reuters).
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0.48% | |
No | 99.52% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 96 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 627 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |