RAND recently launched an initiative to pursue research and analysis on key under-examined security issues affecting Africa. RFI is working with the Africa Research team to elicit crowd forecasts on some of the urgent areas of policymaker concern.
TRENDING QUESTIONS |
Forecasts in Past Week |
Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027? |
22 |
|
20 |
|
|
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025? |
18 |
1% |
What will be Germany’s net perception of Ukraine in the 2026 Munich Security Report? |
17 |
|
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months? |
17 |
3% |
We're proud to share the progress that the RAND Forecasting Initiative has made in setting the groundwork for integrating crowd perspectives with expert analysis to aid in high-stakes policy decisions.
Read MoreImprove critical reasoning and judgment
Access forecasting training
Get feedback on individual performance
Participate in tournaments for exclusive rewards
Attend virtual events with subject matter experts
Network with other forecasters
Be at the vanguard of forecasting efforts in government
— Fiona Kastel, International Initiative for Impact Evaluation ("3ie")
— Anthony Cordetti, Cambridge Associates