| Rank | Username | No. of Questions Forecasted | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
27 | -1.945133 |
| 2 |
|
45 | -1.896028 |
| 3 |
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|
45 | -1.73604 |
| 4 |
|
54 | -1.452617 |
| 5 |
|
5 | -1.365643 |
| 6 |
|
30 | -1.31286 |
| 7 |
|
2 | -1.013154 |
| 8 |
|
110 | -0.991325 |
| 9 |
|
3 | -0.954113 |
| 10 |
|
6 | -0.924277 |
| 11 |
|
3 | -0.878884 |
| 12 |
|
10 | -0.866893 |
| 13 |
|
1 | -0.864999 |
| 14 |
|
11 | -0.816304 |
| 15 |
|
1 | -0.81287 |
| 16 |
|
2 | -0.810526 |
| 17 |
|
7 | -0.783149 |
| 18 |
|
1 | -0.78262 |
| 19 |
|
1 | -0.774932 |
| 20 |
|
2 | -0.767079 |
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International Diplomacy & Conflict
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 04:59AM
(10 months)
From Russia to the South China Sea and around the globe, these questions forecast conflict, diplomatic agreements, and how these events will shape our world.