« Back to topics

Iran: Threats & Influence

Closing

Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC (11 months)

Forecasting questions related to Iran's nuclear development, foreign relations, and influence on violent non-state actors.

Status

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Featured Questions

Crowd Forecast

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

Closing Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 118 · 776

12%

Chance

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 109 · 853

7%

Chance

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 89 · 738

1%

Chance

Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Closing Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 92 · 1009