| Rank | Username | No. of Questions Forecasted | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
8 | -1.884601 |
| 2 |
|
15 | -1.640217 |
| 3 |
|
15 | -1.62117 |
| 4 |
|
14 | -1.382764 |
| 5 |
|
1 | -0.901513 |
| 6 |
|
13 | -0.839427 |
| 7 |
|
9 | -0.824217 |
| 8 |
|
13 | -0.784488 |
| 9 |
|
3 | -0.769169 |
| 10 |
|
5 | -0.603981 |
| 11 |
|
2 | -0.594897 |
| 12 |
|
5 | -0.575842 |
| 13 |
|
10 | -0.545979 |
| 14 |
|
6 | -0.528938 |
| 15 |
|
3 | -0.525108 |
| 16 |
|
9 | -0.495137 |
| 17 |
|
4 | -0.464887 |
| 18 |
|
6 | -0.462195 |
| 19 |
|
1 | -0.43951 |
| 20 |
|
1 | -0.414456 |
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Iran: Threats & Influence
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC
(1 year)
Forecasting questions related to Iran's nuclear development, foreign relations, and influence on violent non-state actors.