Adam6180

China has been investing heavily in Africa for some time.

@DKC mentions a sunnier outlook on the Chinese economy than we’ve had in years. I would add that, as Taiwan is a relatively hot button compared to Africa, they may be inclined to let that pot simmer while they turn their eyes elsewhere.

China wants secure sea routes. African sea routes are vital to their economy. The Gulf of Guinea has been flagged as a possible location for a Chinese military base. Gabon would be a second choice, and several East African countries could be chosen.

U.S. opposition to the expansion of Chinese influence has not been entirely successful. If building a base in Africa is a calculated risk, then it is not nearly as dangerous as anything related to Taiwan.

Finally, this question has an unusually long resolution window.

Was far too zealous in my first forecast of the question. I'll blame the espresso.