Confirmed previous forecast
7.139288
Relative Brier Score
240
Forecasts
50
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 241 | 157 | 453 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 31 | 20 | 134 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 71 | 50 | 109 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 70 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
1%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
(0%)
Yes
75%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 12, 2024 to Feb 12, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Aug 12, 2024 to Feb 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Moldova
2%
(0%)
Armenia
2%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 12, 2024 to Aug 12, 2025
92%
(0%)
No
Aug 12, 2024 to Aug 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 12, 2024 to Aug 12, 2025
92%
(0%)
No
Aug 12, 2024 to Aug 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 12, 2024 08:12PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 12, 2024 to Sep 12, 2024
99%
(0%)
No
Aug 12, 2024 to Sep 12, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files