Forecasted Questions
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 28, 2024 10:13AM UTC
(3 days ago)
Sep 28, 2024 10:13AM UTC
(3 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | Sep 28, 2024 to Mar 28, 2025 | Dec 28, 2024 | 3% | +1% | +0% |
| No | 96% | Sep 28, 2024 to Mar 28, 2025 | Dec 28, 2024 | 97% | -1% | +0% |
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 05:31PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Sep 29, 2024 05:31PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025 | Oct 29, 2024 | 0% | +0% | 0% |
| No | 100% | Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025 | Oct 29, 2024 | 100% | +0% | 0% |
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 05:38PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Sep 29, 2024 05:38PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15% | Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025 | Oct 29, 2024 | 6% | +9% | -2% |
| No | 85% | Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025 | Oct 29, 2024 | 94% | -9% | +2% |
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 05:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Sep 29, 2024 05:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 6% | +4% | +0% |
| No | 90% | 94% | -4% | +0% |
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 05:57PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Sep 29, 2024 05:57PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025 | Oct 29, 2024 | 0% | +2% | +0% |
| No | 98% | Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025 | Oct 29, 2024 | 100% | -2% | +0% |