16th
Accuracy Rank

Akkete

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Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 1 334 232 735
Comments 0 0 1 1 22
Questions Forecasted 0 1 70 46 98
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 28 19 80
 Definitions
New Badge
Akkete
earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Oct 2024

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Akkete
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (-1%)
Yes
Oct 7, 2024 to Apr 7, 2025
99% (+1%)
No
Oct 7, 2024 to Apr 7, 2025

Adjusting.

Files
New Prediction

Updating with crowd movement

Files
New Prediction

Lowering with time.

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New Prediction
Akkete
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
9% (-4%)
Yes
91% (+4%)
No

Extremizing since crowd has moved my way.

Files
New Prediction
Akkete
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than 24%
0% (-1%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
25% (-5%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
75% (+6%)
More than or equal to 28%

Going closer to crowd.

Files
New Prediction
Akkete
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
5% (0%)
Moldova
4% (0%)
Armenia
3% (0%)
Georgia
4% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Akkete
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Estonia
3% (0%)
Latvia
3% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

Last 3 months

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New Prediction

Little time left

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Files
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