Confirmed previous forecast
-0.407947
Relative Brier Score
233
Forecasts
19
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 295 | 233 | 736 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 52 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 67 | 46 | 98 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | 80 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Files
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Oct 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 7, 2024 02:13PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(-1%)
Yes
Oct 7, 2024 to Apr 7, 2025
99%
(+1%)
No
Oct 7, 2024 to Apr 7, 2025
Adjusting.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(-5%)
Yes
90%
(+5%)
No
Updating with crowd movement
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
34%
(-6%)
Yes
66%
(+6%)
No
Lowering with time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
9%
(-4%)
Yes
91%
(+4%)
No
Extremizing since crowd has moved my way.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 24%
0%
(-1%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
25%
(-5%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
75%
(+6%)
More than or equal to 28%
Going closer to crowd.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Moldova
4%
(0%)
Armenia
3%
(0%)
Georgia
4%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Estonia
3%
(0%)
Latvia
3%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files