Good day,
1) "China, India, and Thailand perceive Myanmar's instability as a potential threat."
2) " Rather, the specter of economic instability looms ominously over the regime's internal unity, potentially compelling the military to contemplate an election as a potential exit strategy."
3) "In the face of these evolving challenges, it is imperative for the international community to maintain a push toward an inclusive peace process integrating EAOs, NUG, NLD, and other key stakeholders, irrespective of potential electoral events. Considering the conflict’s potential to linger for years, international assistance will be crucial to strengthen civilian protection in conflict-affected areas."
https://www.csis.org/analysis/myanmars-precipice-stalemate-and-internal-strife-compelling-military-toward-election
1) "However, the NDSC allowed the military government to extend emergency rule for another six months in February, saying the country remained in an abnormal situation. The announcement on Monday is the fourth extension.
2) The state of emergency allows the military to assume all government functions, giving the head of the ruling military council, Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, legislative, judicial and executive powers."
https://apnews.com/article/myanmar-military-state-of-emergency-extend-c860a06985f42265088b53c0ea80029e
The listed facts make me believe that the military will hold election for a way out of conflict since, China, India, and Thailand view the instability as a threat they might push the military to hold elections but not within the time frame of the question.
Why do you think you're right?
I had the information with the two questions reversed as this question states in the next 12 months and can also resolve yes in the 6 month question.
Why might you be wrong?
I misunderstood the question or does not resolve in the time frame of the question.