Caracal

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No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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Forecasts 0 0 1 0 17
Comments 0 0 1 0 11
Questions Forecasted 0 0 1 0 9
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 Definitions
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Caracal
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jan 6, 2024 06:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
90%
Yes
Dec 6, 2023 to Jun 6, 2024
10%
No
Dec 6, 2023 to Jun 6, 2024
Why do you think you're right?

They already have attacked "Israeli-linked" vessels and they have promised to escalate. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/12/4/yemens-houthis-target-israeli-linked-ships-in-red-sea-heres-what-to-know

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Why might you be wrong?

Very few actors in the region want the war to expand; diplomacy or caution may prevail.

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

This is now under legal scrutiny

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Why might you be wrong?

They may have already made something with these elements

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Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Caracal
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100% (0%)
Less than 4 million
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 6 million
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

This tech is still in progress and time is moving along

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Why might you be wrong?

Tech can change quickly

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Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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Caracal
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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