Confirmed previous forecast
0.148434
Relative Brier Score
50
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 62 | 50 | 134 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 18 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
2%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 20, 2024 02:03PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 20, 2024 to Feb 20, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Aug 20, 2024 to Feb 20, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 20, 2024 02:03PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 20, 2024 to Feb 20, 2025
97%
(0%)
No
Aug 20, 2024 to Feb 20, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
53%
(+38%)
Yes
47%
(-38%)
No
China AI will be an election issue
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
(0%)
Yes
10%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(0%)
Yes
40%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-5%)
Yes
85%
(+5%)
No
I
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
2%
(-2%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Ongoing war will make hard easing relations
Files