167th
Accuracy Rank

DavidG

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Forecasted Questions

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 20, 2024 05:30PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 5%
No 90% 95%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 20, 2024 05:47PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 15% 2%
Latvia 10% 1%
Lithuania 5% 1%
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