Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
1 Forecast
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Apr 26, 2024 09:30PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 55% | 21% | +34% | -34% |
No | 45% | 79% | -34% | +34% |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
1 Forecast
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Jul 25, 2024 06:39PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 10% | 1% | +9% | +0% |
No | 90% | 99% | -9% | +0% |
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
4 Forecasts
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Sep 25, 2024 06:52PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 20% | 5% | +15% | -1% |
No | 80% | 95% | -15% | +1% |