Confirmed previous forecast
2.333917
Relative Brier Score
90
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 3 | 4 | 159 | 139 | 229 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Questions Forecasted | 3 | 4 | 49 | 48 | 58 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
Yes
15%
No
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0%
(-49%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
0%
(-51%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
100%
(+100%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-5%)
Yes
100%
(+5%)
No
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files