.
-0.000004
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 3 | 5 | 55 | 53 | 286 |
| Comments | 3 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 38 |
| Questions Forecasted | 3 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 79 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Nov 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0%
(0%)
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
0%
(-10%)
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
0%
(-21%)
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
100%
(+31%)
Not before 2026
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-30%)
Yes
100%
(+30%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Oct 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
85%
No
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
.
Why might you be wrong?
.