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No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
24
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 6 | 76 | 24 | 257 |
| Comments | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 6 | 42 | 20 | 68 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
98%
Argentina
0%
Bolivia
50%
Ecuador
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0%
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
10%
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
21%
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
69%
Not before 2026
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than 30 days
0%
30 days
31%
31-60 days
69%
61-90 days
0%
91 days or more
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(-10%)
Yes
Mar 15, 2025 to Mar 15, 2026
100%
(+10%)
No
Mar 15, 2025 to Mar 15, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
.
Why might you be wrong?
.