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4th
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Jim
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2024 Season
2020 Season
2023 Season
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2022 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
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metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Dec 29, 2022 10:00PM UTC
What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022?
-0.005497
Dec 22, 2022 08:51PM UTC
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?
0.098943
Dec 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2022 and Dec 17, 2022)
0.013513
Dec 15, 2022 01:02PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Jan 2023
-0.000326
Dec 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)
-0.000067
Nov 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2022 and Nov 17, 2022)
0.002265
Nov 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
-0.0002
Oct 31, 2022 01:49PM UTC
How many U.S. teams will be named as a Winner or Runner Up at the 2022 iGEM Grand Jamboree in Paris?
0.071967
Oct 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2022 and Oct 17, 2022)
0.00272
Oct 15, 2022 01:00PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Nov 2022
0.234316
Oct 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Oct 3, 2022)
-0.000027
Sep 17, 2022 07:16PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Oct 2022
0.030435
Sep 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 3, 2022 and Sep 3, 2022)
0.0
Aug 15, 2022 01:00PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Sep 2022
-0.009828
Aug 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 3, 2022 and Aug 3, 2022)
-0.000142
Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the U.S. House Subcommittee on Consumer Protection and Commerce vote on the Algorithmic Accountability Act of 2022 before 31 July 2022?
-0.004548
Jul 30, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?
-0.022516
Jul 23, 2022 04:18PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?
0.201687
Jul 23, 2022 04:17PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 28, 2021 and Jun 1, 2022)
-0.287313
Jul 15, 2022 01:10PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Aug 2022
-0.015166
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