I asked for a clarification regarding chip size, based on this information below:
China Advances in Semiconductor Lithography
https://abachy.com/news/china-advances-semiconductor-lithography#:~:text=For%20instance%2C%20ASML's%201980i%20system%20is%20capable,from%20producing%20chips%20smaller%20than%2065nm%20effectively.
"Analysts highlight that while these tools represent progress, they still cannot reach the complexities and precision of advanced systems like ASML's immersion DUV machines. For instance, ASML’s 1980i system is capable of producing chips at the 10nm scale with a DCO of less than 1.6nm for full wafer coverage, supporting a significantly higher level of efficiency and output (processing up to 275 wafers per hour). In contrast, the Chinese machines likely adhere to the limited DCO capabilities, which would restrict them from producing chips smaller than 65nm effectively."
Why do you think you're right?
DPRK may have the capability to use their former nuclear test site (some reports advise). They collapsed the tunnels when a diplomatic agreement was reached and did this in good faith in efforts towards denuclearization. However, now the DPRK gov is informing that deal is now off the table.
Reuters informs (2022) "North Korea appears to be "restoring" its Punggye-ri nuclear test site, South Korea has said, with signs of new construction spotted in satellite imagery for the first time since it was shuttered in 2018.
North Korea has not tested a nuclear bomb since 2017, but it has suggested it could resume such testing because denuclearisation talks with the United States and its allies remain stalled."
[...]
"The main mountain is unlikely to be usable for new tests, but other nearby mountains could be used, ISIS said in a 2018 report. North Korea could also conduct new tests at an entirely different location."
[...]
"The closing did not affect North Korea’s nuclear weapons arsenal or its capability to make nuclear weapons, but the lack of testing could inhibit its ability to field reliable, deliverable thermonuclear warheads, according to the Institute for Science and International Security in Washington (ISIS).
The main mountain is unlikely to be usable for new tests, but other nearby mountains could be used, ISIS said in a 2018 report. North Korea could also conduct new tests at an entirely different location.
North Korea appears to be restoring its dismantled nuclear test site. (2022)
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/nkorea-appears-be-restoring-its-dismantled-nuclear-test-site-2022-03-15/
Why might you be wrong?
DPRK may conduct nuclear tests in a new area. While there is a lot of strategic political jostling and saber-rattling going on, if N Korea wants a viable nuclear weapon, they may need to conduct more tests to ensure their weapon will be accurate.
Thanks @cmeinel , that's interesting research indeed. Focusing on whether N Korea will (or will not) conduct a test, in my opinion - if they want to they will find a way, even if at another location "The main mountain is unlikely to be usable for new tests, but other nearby mountains could be used, ISIS said in a 2018 report. North Korea could also conduct new tests at an entirely different location (Reuters)."
However, I find the political strategy of Russia and now also including N Korea (Russia/N Korea military pact) to be more compelling as to whether N Korea will conduct a test. They will probably need to field this through The Duma, aka Putin. The current political environment between Ukraine & Russia involves the atacms (Ukraine) https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2nrlq1840o and RS-26, an "experimental" intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) (Russia), with Russia's threat of nuclear weapon usage on the table. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-russian-missile-and-why-it-matters-ukraine-nato/
At this current juncture, I doubt Putin will want to be upstaged by a N Korean nuclear test (that would definitely rattle the world). That would be stealing Russia's thunder. Unless of course, Russia somehow desires to hide behind the crazy man from N Korea to do its dirty work. It doesn't seem to be in Russia's best interest to agree to N Korea's nuclear test; but that may change if they desire to scare NATO and the world more.