I Don't think so
-0.019083
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
4
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
92%
(0%)
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
92%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
Very less chance.... It will take years obviously... But surely it will happen inside 10-15 years.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
26%
Yes
74%
No
Less chance bcz Hamas will think to start their militant activity again if ceasefire happens.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
90%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
Oman may do it.... But Bangladesh, Pakistan and Malaysia never.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
31%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Oct 6, 2025
69%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Oct 6, 2025
Most probably they will be engaged with the sunni countries like the KSA or others.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
67%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
33%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
It should be bcz they r a threat to the stability in middle east as well as global peace.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Asad is backed by russia and others