Because of president trump.
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
8
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 34 |
Comments | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Definitions |

New Prediction

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
31%
Yes
69%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If trump changes his position
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
9%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 29, 2025 to Sep 29, 2025
91%
(0%)
No
Mar 29, 2025 to Sep 29, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
It's vague
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Because It's vague
Files

New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 25, 2025 07:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
9%
Yes
Feb 25, 2025 to Aug 25, 2025
91%
No
Feb 25, 2025 to Aug 25, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
If they do they are gonna face more international pressure.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Kim is a psychopath.
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Lest chance.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
As there r political unrest also.
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
48%
Chemical
50%
Biological
3%
Radiological
0%
Nuclear
Why do you think you're right?
Israel may use it against Iran.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
It's complicated assumption.
Files

New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 1, 2025 12:48AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 1, 2025 to Aug 1, 2025
90%
(0%)
No
Feb 1, 2025 to Aug 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Bcz there is the KSA and USA behind Sisi
Why might you be wrong?
If any dramatic game changing step taken by Iran and Muslim brotherhood.