I Don't think so
-0.394232
Relative Brier Score
22
Forecasts
5
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Future Bowl,
Iran-VNSAs,
Mission: AI Advancement
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
92%
(0%)
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 6, 2024 09:06PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
92%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
Very less chance.... It will take years obviously... But surely it will happen inside 10-15 years.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
26%
Yes
74%
No
Less chance bcz Hamas will think to start their militant activity again if ceasefire happens.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 6, 2024 09:04PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
90%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
Oman may do it.... But Bangladesh, Pakistan and Malaysia never.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
31%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Oct 6, 2025
69%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Oct 6, 2025
Most probably they will be engaged with the sunni countries like the KSA or others.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 6, 2024 09:01PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
67%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
33%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
It should be bcz they r a threat to the stability in middle east as well as global peace.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Asad is backed by russia and others