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NukePirate

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Forecasted Questions
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Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 19, 2024 03:28PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 25% 15%
No 75% 85%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 19, 2024 03:29PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 100% 97%
No 0% 3%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
 11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 19, 2024 03:31PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 7% 11%
No 93% 89%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 19, 2024 03:31PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 0% 1%
Oman 0% 2%
Qatar 0% 1%
Saudi Arabia 0% 2%
Tunisia 0% 1%

Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Forecast Count:
 14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 19, 2024 03:31PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
S-400 or S-500 missile system 2% 9%
Su-35 fighter jets 6% 7%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 19, 2024 03:31PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 4% 1%
No 96% 99%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 19, 2024 03:32PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Oct 19, 2024 to Apr 19, 2025 Nov 19, 2024 1%
No 100% Oct 19, 2024 to Apr 19, 2025 Nov 19, 2024 99%

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 25, 2024 01:13PM UTC
(11 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 30, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 14% 39%
No 86% 61%

Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 30, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana 0% 3%
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells 2% 4%
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo 0% 1%
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo 1% 1%
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