Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 3, 2024 02:03AM
(7 months ago)
Sep 3, 2024 02:03AM
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 1% | +19% | +0% |
| No | 80% | 99% | -19% | +0% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(24 days from now)
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(24 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM
(5 months ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42% | 7% | +35% | -14% |
| No | 58% | 93% | -35% | +14% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(2 years from now)
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 25, 2025 03:26AM
(1 month ago)
Feb 25, 2025 03:26AM
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 65% | 8% | +57% | +1% |
| Armenia | 35% | 2% | +33% | +1% |
| Georgia | 50% | 5% | +45% | +1% |
| Kazakhstan | 20% | 2% | +18% | +1% |
Will the Latin American governments listed (Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 25, 2025 03:43AM
(1 month ago)
Feb 25, 2025 03:43AM
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 10% | 10% | +0% | +1% |
| Bolivia | 15% | 13% | +2% | +0% |
| Ecuador | 25% | 9% | +16% | +0% |