Forecasted Questions
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2024 02:13AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Aug 07, 2024 02:13AM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-400 or S-500 missile system | 67% | 9% | +58% | +0% |
| Su-35 fighter jets | 71% | 7% | +64% | +0% |
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2024 02:13AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Aug 07, 2024 02:13AM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 96% | -36% | +6% |
| No | 40% | 4% | +36% | -6% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2024 03:23AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Aug 07, 2024 03:23AM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 65% | 7% | +58% | -4% |
| Armenia | 35% | 1% | +34% | +0% |
| Georgia | 50% | 3% | +47% | -1% |
| Kazakhstan | 20% | 1% | +19% | +0% |
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 08, 2024 02:56AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Aug 08, 2024 02:56AM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 24% | 8% | 0% | +8% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% | 50% | 0% | +50% | -2% |
| More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% | 29% | 22% | +7% | -46% |
| More than or equal to 28% | 13% | 77% | -64% | +48% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 28, 2024 01:45AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Aug 28, 2024 01:45AM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42% | 11% | +31% | -5% |
| No | 58% | 89% | -31% | +5% |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 03, 2024 02:03AM UTC
(28 days ago)
Sep 03, 2024 02:03AM UTC
(28 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 1% | +19% | +0% |
| No | 80% | 99% | -19% | +0% |