Forecasted Questions
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 03, 2024 02:03AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Sep 03, 2024 02:03AM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 1% | +19% | +0% |
| No | 80% | 99% | -19% | +0% |
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-400 or S-500 missile system | 67% | 9% | +58% | +0% |
| Su-35 fighter jets | 71% | 6% | +65% | +0% |
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 97% | -37% | +0% |
| No | 40% | 3% | +37% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 65% | 7% | +58% | +0% |
| Armenia | 35% | 2% | +33% | +0% |
| Georgia | 50% | 4% | +46% | +0% |
| Kazakhstan | 20% | 2% | +18% | +0% |
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 24% | 8% | 0% | +8% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% | 50% | 1% | +49% | +1% |
| More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% | 29% | 4% | +25% | -2% |
| More than or equal to 28% | 13% | 94% | -81% | +1% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(24 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42% | 34% | +8% | +14% |
| No | 58% | 66% | -8% | -14% |