China is not ready to end its dynamic zero COVID policy yet due to the lower efficacy of its domestically produced vaccines. If it were to announce such a policy, that will likely happen closer to Chinese New Year, end of January 2023.
0.033573
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2
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0
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Future Bowl
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Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The new inhalable COVID vaccine booster works very effectively.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Taking back Taiwan will largely supported by the nationalistic Chinese population. However, the consequences of such an action e.g. sanctions are more negative than positive for the Chinese Communist Party.
Why might you be wrong?