171st
Accuracy Rank

Pramila

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0.630777

Relative Brier Score

52

Forecasts

10

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 48 159 591 545 1329
Comments 0 2 4 4 166
Questions Forecasted 47 48 88 73 198
Upvotes on Comments By This User 1 3 46 42 124
 Definitions
New Prediction
Pramila
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
57% (+5%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
43% (-5%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025

slight possibility

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New Prediction
no such plans as of now
Files
New Prediction

slight adjustment

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New Prediction
New Prediction
Pramila
made their 11th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
14% (+6%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to Nov 20, 2025
86% (-6%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to Nov 20, 2025

some reports suggest that his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, could be positioned to succeed him, with some secret discussions already taking place within Iran’s political circles​. His health issues do suggest a possible shift in leadership within the coming year.

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New Prediction

less likely

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New Prediction

Russian government cyberattack against NATO energy or transportation infrastructure causing physical damage or human casualties within the next 18 months is less likely. While Russia has a history of cyberattacks against critical infrastructure, including targeting Ukraine and NATO countries' networks, these attacks have primarily disrupted services and stolen data rather than directly causing physical harm​. The current cybersecurity measures in NATO countries, alongside the relatively low success rates of causing kinetic effects through cyberattacks, suggest that while the risk is serious, it may not escalate to a level resulting in casualties or physical damage in the short term​.

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New Prediction
Pramila
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
25% (-2%)
Togo
40% (+3%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations

going with crowd

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New Prediction
Pramila
made their 11th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
20% (-5%)
Yes
80% (+5%)
No

Currently, Huawei has not announced plans to sell Open RAN equipment, nor is it actively involved in promoting Open RAN solutions. Huawei has instead emphasized its integrated and proprietary 5G RAN solutions, maintaining dominance in traditional markets. Open RAN, which allows interoperability among multiple vendors, has been gaining traction globally, but primarily among Huawei's competitors.

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New Prediction
Pramila
made their 14th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7% (-3%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
93% (+3%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025

Despite widespread unrest, there has not been a recent large-scale, prolonged protest involving 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week. Many protests remain localized, such as strikes in industrial sectors and rallies by retirees across various cities, often met with crackdowns by security forces. While Iran's economic and political climate creates fertile ground for major protests, the government's aggressive suppression tactics have limited the scale and duration of recent uprisings.

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