Till now FDA has not approved repurposing existing drug used for neurodegenrative diseases for Traumatic brain injuries. There are few drugs such as buntanetap, edaravone which has shown efficiency in brain injury treatment but they have not been fully tested yet. And these drugs need to be accurate enough to be used in sensible brain traumatic injury so it will take a long time for any reusable drug to be approved.
-0.000121
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
88
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 680 | 88 | 1577 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 38 | 27 | 202 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 66 | 34 | 201 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 124 |
Definitions |

New Prediction

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
With advancement in medical technology, there can be a little bit of chance of this happening.
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-17%)
Yes
97%
(+17%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
While initially I was also not quite optmistic on its possibility and based on other forecasters forecast, I am reducing the chance of probability as well.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Technology has brought a lot of impossible to reality so leaving a little room for that.
Files

New Badge

New Badge


Star Commenter - Jan 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
9%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 1, 2025 to Aug 1, 2026
91%
(0%)
No
Feb 1, 2025 to Aug 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 59
11%
(0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
28%
(0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
44%
(0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
16%
(0%)
More than or equal to 90
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 49
13%
(0%)
Between 50 and 59, inclusive
58%
(0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
27%
(0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to 80
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Environmental sensors using bioelectronics have the potential to be the most commercially adopted category due to their broad applications, lower regulatory barriers, and scalability. With increasing global concerns about pollution, climate change, and water quality, bio-based sensors that detect toxins, pathogens, or environmental changes will be in high demand. Unlike implantable medical devices, which face strict regulations and high costs, environmental sensors can be deployed faster and at scale, making them attractive for governments, industries, and even consumers. Advances in microbial fuel cells, bio-hybrid air quality monitors, and water contamination detectors make this a rapidly growing field, and large-scale adoption could happen sooner than medical bioelectronics due to public health and environmental priorities.
Why might you be wrong?
If technological limitations slow the development of reliable bioelectronic environmental sensors, preventing them from outperforming existing sensor technologies.