Confirmed previous forecast
0.024014
Relative Brier Score
1
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Estonia
7%
(0%)
Latvia
13%
(0%)
Lithuania
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Estonia
7%
Latvia
13%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?
Simply because Estonia is a member of NATO and Russia’s invasion tactics start with mere bullying at first
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Red herring
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
88%
Yes
12%
No
Why do you think you're right?
The technological aspects of transit spectroscopy is advancing that’s why it’s becoming more common for the newer models of telescopes to spot exoplanets
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Due to the unknown particles in outer space it’s possible the earth based telescopes may not hit its mark to the find exoplanets
Files
New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
Because of his inhumane decisions against Ukraine he won’t be coming back as a president
Files