Because they left the Russian power grid
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
78%
(-2%)
Estonia
8%
(+1%)
Latvia
14%
(+1%)
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
They will get assistance from other EU countries
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Estonia
7%
(0%)
Latvia
13%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
88%
(0%)
Yes
12%
(0%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Yes because there’s far more advancements in science and astronomy and the use of public data through applications such as Zooniverse
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Some data could be corrupt or inaccurate so that would delay things
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 7, 2024 06:35AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
72%
Yes
Oct 7, 2024 to Apr 7, 2025
28%
No
Oct 7, 2024 to Apr 7, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
No doubt there will be ramifications of irans missiles attack on Israeli forces.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Big world leaders might intercept this attack in forms of condemnation for both Iran and Israeli forces
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Estonia
7%
(0%)
Latvia
13%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Because due to the last pandemic they have a baseline to compare all kinds of different diseases and their upcoming vaccines to fight it
Why might you be wrong?
Other internal issues or factors may arise