RavenMorningstar06

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0.013225

Relative Brier Score

5

Forecasts

1

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 4 4 5
Comments 0 0 3 3 3
Questions Forecasted 0 0 3 3 4
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 1
 Definitions


Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program

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RavenMorningstar06
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
RavenMorningstar06
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Nov 7, 2024 06:35AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
72%
Yes
Oct 7, 2024 to Apr 7, 2025
28%
No
Oct 7, 2024 to Apr 7, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

No doubt there will be ramifications of irans missiles attack on Israeli forces. 

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Why might you be wrong?

Big world leaders might intercept this attack in forms of condemnation for both Iran and Israeli forces 

Files
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RavenMorningstar06
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
RavenMorningstar06
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
80% (0%)
Estonia
7% (0%)
Latvia
13% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
RavenMorningstar06
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
RavenMorningstar06
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
80%
Estonia
7%
Latvia
13%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?

Simply because Estonia is a member of NATO and Russia’s invasion tactics start with mere bullying at first 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Red herring 

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RavenMorningstar06
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

The technological aspects of transit spectroscopy is advancing that’s why it’s becoming more common for the newer models of telescopes to spot exoplanets 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Due to the unknown particles in outer space it’s possible the earth based telescopes may not hit its mark to the find exoplanets 

Files
Files
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