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Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
-0.001994
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
-0.001084
Jan 01, 2022 01:52PM UTC
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
0.160414
Jan 01, 2022 01:49PM UTC
Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?
-0.002224
Jan 01, 2022 12:59PM UTC
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
0.184002
Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021)
-0.00102
Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021)
-0.001757
Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM UTC
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
0.037996
Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)
0.0
Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)
0.0
Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)
-0.000881
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
-0.003293
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
-0.002693
Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Sep 17, 2021)
-0.001267
Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Sep 17, 2021)
-0.000716
Jul 01, 2021 05:30PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?
-0.000956
Jun 01, 2021 06:44PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?
-0.000037
Apr 10, 2021 03:56AM UTC
How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.160272
Oct 31, 2020 03:04PM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
-0.043134
Oct 21, 2020 02:47PM UTC
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.008352
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