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59th
Accuracy Rank
androm
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
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Russia-Ukraine War
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Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
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China Lithography
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Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
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Iran Nuclear Program
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metric-question
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jul 11, 2023 01:00PM UTC
Will Sweden become a full member of NATO before the NATO Summit in July 2023?
0.140869
Jul 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Will the composition of Israel's current governing coalition change before 1 July 2023?
-0.000577
Jul 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Will Kosovo and Serbia sign an EU-backed proposal aimed at normalizing diplomatic relations by 30 June 2023?
-0.000033
May 23, 2023 03:04PM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022)
0.005929
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?
0.093339
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?
-0.016501
Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?
0.031063
Apr 05, 2023 07:14PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023)
0.000277
Apr 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession?
-0.002493
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023?
-0.001003
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?
0.35566
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 3, 2023 and Mar 1, 2023)
0.0
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?
-0.000331
Mar 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 17, 2022 and Sep 1, 2022)
0.004691
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
-0.005869
Feb 02, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022)
-0.000037
Jan 03, 2023 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 3, 2022 and Jan 3, 2023)
0.0
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.07016
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.075218
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.111371
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