bekahcha

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Dec 29, 2022 05:00AM In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 31, 2022 and Jun 29, 2022) -0.00088
    Dec 17, 2022 04:00PM In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2022 and Dec 17, 2022) 0.00279
    Dec 6, 2022 08:00PM Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022) -0.000697
    Dec 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022) 0.00453
    Nov 28, 2022 03:46PM Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022? 0.484389
    Nov 17, 2022 04:00PM In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2022 and Nov 17, 2022) 0.003155
    Nov 6, 2022 08:00PM Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022) -0.000529
    Nov 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022) 0.000465
    Oct 17, 2022 04:00PM In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2022 and Oct 17, 2022) 0.003267
    Oct 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Oct 3, 2022) 0.004593
    Sep 26, 2022 04:00PM Will the Brothers of Italy Party (FdI) win the most seats in the 2022 Italian general election? 0.348921
    Sep 17, 2022 04:00PM In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2022 and Sep 17, 2022) 0.003839
    Sep 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 3, 2022 and Sep 3, 2022) 0.000484
    Aug 17, 2022 04:00PM In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022) 0.001877
    Aug 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 3, 2022 and Aug 3, 2022) 0.003568
    Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM Will the French data protection authority (CNIL) announce a fine against Clearview AI before 31 July 2022? -0.006245
    Jul 30, 2022 04:00AM Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022? 0.067672
    Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022? 0.132581
    Jul 21, 2022 01:00PM How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022? 0.007287
    Jul 17, 2022 04:00PM In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 17, 2022 and Jul 17, 2022) 0.004427
     
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