bekahcha

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Feb 2, 2024 10:00PM When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report? 0.785343
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00PM Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023? 0.559846
    Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1,000 or more fatalities from conflict or political violence in Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank? 0.011972
    Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record at least 50 protests or riots or at least 10 protest- or riot-related fatalities in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province? 0.012497
    Jul 1, 2023 04:00AM Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023? -0.068061
    Apr 20, 2023 06:16PM What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022? -0.068898
    Apr 20, 2023 03:52PM Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022? 0.261908
    Apr 20, 2023 03:23PM What percentage of contributions to Github's "very high impact" AI projects will be from China in 2022? -0.192221
    Apr 20, 2023 03:20PM How many European Union countries will have an AI skill migration greater than 2 per 10,000 in 2022? 0.001592
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022? 0.016335
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022? 0.077208
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM Which country will have published the second most "high impact" journal articles on artificial intelligence in 2022? 0.706561
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023? 0.150442
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia? 0.266605
    Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023? 0.014882
    Apr 5, 2023 07:14PM Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023) 0.000488
    Mar 22, 2023 04:00PM How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023? -0.090162
    Mar 1, 2023 05:00AM Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023? 0.019169
    Jan 1, 2023 05:00AM Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022? -0.001905
    Dec 29, 2022 10:00PM What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022? 0.118863
     
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