Italy already has temporarily for suspicions that Chat GPT violates the EU's data privacy laws.
2.219211
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
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Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
70%
No
the incentive of the 24 hour news cycle to follow sensationalism will deter news companies from making this change.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
with more and more money being pumped into AI companies due to obvious advancements in LLMs (like Chat GPT), there are increasing resources to improve AI. LLMs are an intuitive next step for info ops due to their cost-saving nature and ability to scale IOs more quickly.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Yes
65%
No
This seems like it could have implications for privacy issues.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Less than 4 million
50%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
30%
More than or equal to 6 million
The rate of growth is steady and increasing.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
Facebook began signaling that posts might contain incorrect information in December 2016, making it a quick response to disinformation in the 2016 elections.
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