cmeinel

Carolyn Meinel

About:

I find geopolitical forecasting to be immensely entertaining. I also enjoy the research side, focusing on hybrid human/machine forecasting. Most recently, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0169207021001473, see also a webinar, https://youtu.be/iXuA2sE0Uzs.

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Season	Start	End	Relative Brier Score	Rank
2024 Season	01 Jan 2024	01 Jan 2025	-0.405534	18th (out of 178)
2023 Season	02 Jan 2023	31 Dec 2023	-1.407031	2nd (out of 374)
2022 Season	01 Jan 2022	01 Jan 2023	-0.352743	40th (out of 450)
2021 Season	31 Mar 2021	31 Dec 2021	-0.313243	61st (out of 397)
2020 Season	24 Feb 2020	31 Mar 2021	No Score	--