168th
Accuracy Rank

gcahlik

About:

Former Investigative Analyst for a Federal agency, now working as a trade compliance specialist for a nonprofit research and development institute.

Johns Hopkins University, School of Advanced International Studies graduate, MA International Relations, Russian and Eurasian studies concentration. University of Texas at San Antonio graduate, BA Economics, Political Science, minor in Russian

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Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
Jul 21, 2022 01:00PM UTC How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022? -0.223695
Jul 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 17, 2022 and Jul 17, 2022) 0.00228
Jul 06, 2022 03:59AM UTC What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022? 0.041768
Jul 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 3, 2022 and Jul 3, 2022) 0.0
Jul 01, 2022 01:33PM UTC By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO? -0.01085
Jul 01, 2022 01:25PM UTC Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022? -0.001221
Jun 30, 2022 09:02PM UTC On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised? 0.000035
Jun 04, 2022 04:00AM UTC What will be the price of crude oil futures on 3 June 2022? -0.040362
Jun 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between May 3, 2022 and Jun 3, 2022) -0.000106
Jun 02, 2022 01:40PM UTC What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022? -0.04464
May 31, 2022 03:08PM UTC Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022? -0.037586
May 25, 2022 02:09PM UTC Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022? -0.000578
May 06, 2022 09:00PM UTC What will be the end of day closing price of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) on 6 May 2022? -0.024037
May 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 3, 2022 and May 3, 2022) 0.022547
Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM UTC What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? -0.048869
Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM UTC When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine? -0.019216
Apr 27, 2022 09:00PM UTC When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD? 0.165667
Apr 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 3, 2022 and Apr 3, 2022) 0.121342
Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM UTC Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022? -0.06698
Feb 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Feb 17, 2022) -0.003716
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