goodbunny

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2022 Season Stats

0.242807

Relative Brier Score

10

Forecasts

1

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 1 12 9 55
Comments 0 1 1 1 29
Questions Forecasted 0 1 5 3 17
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 1
 Definitions
New Prediction

Confirmed previous forecast

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PeterStamp made a comment:
Only point I was tying to make is, that 3% looks quite radical to me under the circumstances.
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction

Investors are worried about the immediate revenue potential of AI, and the equity market seems poised to enter a period of correction.

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For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?
goodbunny made their 13th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
2023 Q2
0% (0%)
2023 Q3
0% (0%)
2023 Q4
1% (0%)
2024 Q1
1% (0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Badge
goodbunny earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?
goodbunny made their 12th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
2023 Q2
0% (0%)
2023 Q3
0% (0%)
2023 Q4
1% (0%)
2024 Q1
1% (0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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