Forecasted Questions
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Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2025 09:27PM
(4 days ago)
Mar 29, 2025 09:27PM
(4 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2025 09:27PM
(4 days ago)
Mar 29, 2025 09:27PM
(4 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2025 11:42PM
(4 days ago)
Mar 29, 2025 11:42PM
(4 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | Mar 29, 2025 to Mar 29, 2026 | Jun 29, 2025 11:42PM | 8% | -3% | +0% |
| No | 95% | Mar 29, 2025 to Mar 29, 2026 | Jun 29, 2025 11:42PM | 92% | +3% | +0% |
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2025 02:29AM
(4 days ago)
Mar 30, 2025 02:29AM
(4 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | Mar 30, 2025 to Sep 30, 2025 | Apr 30, 2025 02:29AM | 41% | -1% | +2% |
| No | 60% | Mar 30, 2025 to Sep 30, 2025 | Apr 30, 2025 02:29AM | 59% | +1% | -2% |
Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2025 02:40AM
(4 days ago)
Mar 30, 2025 02:40AM
(4 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 5% | -2% | +0% |
| No | 97% | 95% | +2% | +0% |
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2025 02:51AM
(4 days ago)
Mar 30, 2025 02:51AM
(4 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | 27% | +3% | -3% |
| No | 70% | 73% | -3% | +3% |