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22nd
Accuracy Rank
johnnycaffeine
John Bash
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Following (83)
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2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will a top U.S. chemical or oil and gas company join the BOTTLE consortium as an industry partner by 31 August 2023?
-0.000021
Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
How many teams from the United States will compete in the 2023 iGEM Grand Jamboree?
-0.00007
Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will 50 or more fatalities be attributed to one or more non-state armed groups with Salafi jihadi ideology in India?
-0.000019
Aug 22, 2023 09:00AM UTC
Will Prayut Chan-o-cha be re-elected as prime minister of Thailand by the Thai parliament after the next election and before 1 Jan 2024?
-0.00003
Aug 21, 2023 09:00PM UTC
Will GenScript’s Industrial Synthetic Biology segment report an operating profit in the first half of 2023?
-0.003972
Aug 21, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will 200 or more fatalities be attributed to one or more non-state armed groups with Salafi jihadi ideology in the North Central and North West zones of Nigeria?
-0.007221
Aug 21, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will the UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset attribute 500 or more fatalities to the Iran - Israel conflict?
-0.000002
Aug 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 20, 2023 and Aug 20, 2023)
-0.000032
Aug 20, 2023 05:25PM UTC
Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023?
0.081479
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 and 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 100 or more protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil?
-0.008392
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1,000 or more fatalities from conflict or political violence in Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank?
-0.000014
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record at least 50 protests or riots or at least 10 protest- or riot-related fatalities in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province?
0.0
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 10,000 or more civilian fatalities in Ethiopia?
0.0
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1000 or more fatalities from conflicts or political violence in Kenya?
0.0
Jul 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 20, 2023 and Jul 20, 2023)
-0.0002
Jul 11, 2023 01:00PM UTC
Will Sweden become a full member of NATO before the NATO Summit in July 2023?
-0.009601
Jul 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Will the composition of Israel's current governing coalition change before 1 July 2023?
-0.009215
Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023?
-0.004576
Jun 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between May 20, 2023 and Jun 20, 2023)
-0.0002
Jun 01, 2023 12:45AM UTC
On 31 May 2023, how many total tax incentives will be listed in the Alternative Fuels Data Center?
0.009815
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