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70th
Accuracy Rank
michalbod
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?
-0.008919
Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?
-0.008748
Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM UTC
What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?
-0.009458
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 3, 2023 and Mar 1, 2023)
0.0
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?
-0.001315
Mar 22, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?
0.015251
Mar 21, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How much will On Running earn in net sales from shoes in Q4 2022?
0.29632
Mar 19, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Microsoft's AI-powered “new Bing” be available to the public by 30 April 2023?
0.241925
Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM UTC
Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?
-0.226624
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
-0.004691
Jan 25, 2023 02:00PM UTC
What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022?
-0.005555
Jan 18, 2023 05:00AM UTC
How many integrated circuit (IC) units will China produce in 2022?
-0.007767
Jan 03, 2023 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 3, 2022 and Jan 3, 2023)
0.0
Jan 02, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023?
-0.003894
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2022, will Impossible Foods announce a date for their IPO?
-0.003031
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.010817
Jan 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
-0.002309
Dec 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)
-0.000137
Nov 14, 2022 02:43PM UTC
Will Google score more wins than any other submitter in the next round of the MLPerf training benchmarking suite?
-0.143227
Nov 09, 2022 02:00PM UTC
How many total unique AI systems will Baidu and Alibaba submit for the next round of the MLPerf benchmarking suite?
-0.260551
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