116th
Accuracy Rank

ndhibbler

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Forecasted Questions

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 25, 2023 11:30PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 10% 1%
Oman 10% 2%
Qatar 20% 1%
Saudi Arabia 25% 2%
Tunisia 10% 1%

Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 08, 2023 01:15AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
S-400 or S-500 missile system 15% 9%
Su-35 fighter jets 5% 7%

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 17, 2023 11:23PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 25% 1%
No 75% 99%
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