Forecasted Questions
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 25, 2023 11:30PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jul 25, 2023 11:30PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuwait | 10% | 2% | +9% | +0% |
| Oman | 10% | 2% | +8% | -2% |
| Qatar | 20% | 1% | +19% | +0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 25% | 3% | +22% | +0% |
| Tunisia | 10% | 1% | +9% | -3% |
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 08, 2023 01:15AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 08, 2023 01:15AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-400 or S-500 missile system | 15% | 9% | +6% | -11% |
| Su-35 fighter jets | 5% | 7% | -2% | -9% |
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 17, 2023 11:23PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 17, 2023 11:23PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | 1% | +24% | -11% |
| No | 75% | 99% | -24% | +11% |