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ndhibbler

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ndhibbler
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 14, 2023 10:50PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Nov 14, 2023 to May 14, 2024
90%
No
Nov 14, 2023 to May 14, 2024

Saudi Arabia has worked for too long to see relations regress, but this is not the right time to progress normalization. I think this question will largely depend on how quickly Israel and Hamas end this conflict and what the conditions in Gaza and the West Bank look like. If normalization talks are resumed, it will be on the far reaches of 6 months.

https://www.jns.org/saudis-help-block-anti-israel-measures-at-arab-summit/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6B-y0YKaKEQ

https://www.wionews.com/world/saudi-arabia-other-arab-nations-block-proposal-to-cut-all-ties-with-israel-report-658093

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New Prediction

I don't think the value motive for social media is strong enough to make this push happen.

https://www.politico.eu/article/ai-photography-machine-learning-technology-disinformation-midjourney-dall-e3-stable-diffusion/

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New Prediction

Putin recently quoted as saying "Слухи о моей смерти сильно преувеличены."

https://www.businessinsider.com/putin-heart-attack-claim-is-it-reliable-general-svr-2023-10

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New Prediction

All news around this has died and ChatGPT has become an assumed part of life now. It is understood that LLM capabilities provide a productivity and thus competitive advantage.

https://dig.watch/updates/eu-very-close-to-passing-worlds-first-comprehensive-ai-law

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