njk63

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-0.202312

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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My First Question

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New Prediction
njk63
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Nov 14, 2023 09:44PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
Yes
Oct 14, 2023 to Nov 14, 2023
Why do you think you're right?

There's a lot of history between Israel and Hamas that is making this conflict highly polarized, and I think it's unlikely both parties can overcome that within the next month.

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Why might you be wrong?

As the fighting continues, pressure will definitely rise to reach a ceasefire, so it's possible Israel and Hamas do.

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