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29th
Accuracy Rank
olavo_sg
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Following (13)
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2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
-0.061555
Aug 28, 2023 05:09PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (October 2021 through September 2022)?
0.139072
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?
-0.049698
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.000003
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.000002
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.000116
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.037574
Dec 22, 2022 08:51PM UTC
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?
0.079671
Jul 23, 2022 04:18PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?
0.020889
Jul 23, 2022 04:17PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 28, 2021 and Jun 1, 2022)
0.197887
Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM UTC
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
0.217506
Mar 01, 2022 05:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between September 1, 2021 and February 28, 2022, inclusive?
0.00906
Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM UTC
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
-0.249714
Feb 16, 2022 06:45PM UTC
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2021 and Dec 31, 2021)
-0.039202
Feb 08, 2022 06:49AM UTC
Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?
-0.050316
Feb 03, 2022 02:00PM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021?
0.125554
Jan 31, 2022 03:17PM UTC
How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.101807
Jan 31, 2022 02:49PM UTC
How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.017685
Jan 31, 2022 02:48PM UTC
How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.140084
Jan 04, 2022 01:22PM UTC
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.183546
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