Kharkiv could be an option due proximity to Russian territory but looks like Russia will not be using their troops soon.
0.967869
Relative Brier Score
32
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 73 | 66 | 104 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | 31 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
Kharkiv
1%
Kyiv
1%
Odesa
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
(0%)
Yes
1%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(0%)
Yes
60%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Oct 26, 2024 09:05PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
97%
(0%)
No
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Sep 26, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Sep 26, 2024 to Sep 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Any attack to nuclear facilitie will increase the conflict to wordwide level, the further attacks will be addressed to other kind of buildings.