Any attack to nuclear facilitie will increase the conflict to wordwide level, the further attacks will be addressed to other kind of buildings.
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 105 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 32 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 15, 2024 01:33AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4%
Yes
Oct 15, 2024 to Apr 15, 2025
96%
No
Oct 15, 2024 to Apr 15, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
Kharkiv
1%
Kyiv
1%
Odesa
Kharkiv could be an option due proximity to Russian territory but looks like Russia will not be using their troops soon.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
(0%)
Yes
1%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(0%)
Yes
60%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 26, 2024 09:06PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Oct 26, 2024 09:05PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
97%
(0%)
No
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
No chance before they close the Ukraine war
Why might you be wrong?
Only possible if Russia is involved on a major war